The Brooklyn Nets currently boast the NBA's longest winning streak, and they will put it on the line on Saturday evening. The Nets host the Dallas Mavericks at Barclays Center in front of a national audience. Brooklyn is 22-12 overall and 13-5 at home, with Dallas entering at 15-16 overall and 7-8 on the road. Kristaps Porzingis (back) is questionable to play for the Mavericks, with Jeff Green (shoulder) listed as questionable for the Nets. Kevin Durant (hamstring) and Kyrie Irving (shoulder) are out for Brooklyn.
Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET in Brooklyn. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Mavericks as one-point road favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 233 in the latest Mavericks vs. Nets odds. Before you make any Mavericks vs. Nets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model also is up almost $8,700 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 10 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 85-49 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Nets. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Nets vs. Mavericks:
- Nets vs. Mavericks spread: Mavericks -1
- Nets vs. Mavericks over-under: 233 points
- Nets vs. Mavericks money line: Nets -105, Mavericks -115
- DAL: Mavericks are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
- BKN: Nets are 8-2 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Nets can cover
Brooklyn features the NBA's most potent offense, averaging 121.4 points per game. James Harden leads the NBA in assists (11.4 per game) since arriving in Brooklyn, and he adds 24.9 points and 8.5 rebounds per game. Harden should put pressure on a Dallas defense that currently ranks in the bottom five of the NBA, yielding almost 1.14 points per possession.
Defensively, Brooklyn will have its hands full with Dallas, but the Nets are a top-10 team in limiting opponents from getting to the free throw line. In addition, the Mavericks are a bottom-five offensive rebounding team this season, and that should help the Nets to close possessions effectively.
Why the Mavericks can cover
The Mavericks got off to a slow start offensively in 2020-21, but they have found their form. Led by Luka Doncic, Dallas is scoring 1.19 points per possession in the last 10 games, bringing their full-season offensive efficiency into the top tier. Doncic is averaging 28.5 points, 9.0 assists and 8.4 rebounds per game, and the Mavericks are an above-average shooting team with a 57.6 percent true shooting mark. Dallas also takes care of the ball at a high level, committing turnovers on only 12.6 percent of possessions, and the Mavericks are a top-five team in generating free throws.
Brooklyn struggles defensively, ranking 24th in the NBA, and is a bottom-tier team in turnover creation and rebounding. The Mavericks will have their hands full with the Nets on the perimeter defensively, but Dallas boasts a top-10 mark in points in the paint allowed (45.6 per game).
How to make Nets vs. Mavericks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with only eight players projected to score in double-figures. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nets vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that on an 85-49 roll on NBA picks.
